Never Up, Never In!

My ears perked up when I heard Frank Nobilo’s comment about distance control during Saturday’s telecast of the WGC FedEx St. Jude Invitational. One of the leaders had just left a longish lag putt close to – but short of – the hole. Frank said something like: The best putters more often than not leave their lag putts short and avoid running the ball 7 feet past the hole. Frank is a terrific analyst and I am confident that this was simply an attempt to compliment the player. Nonetheless, I tweeted that it is not true and promised to follow up on my statement.

In early 2016, GOLF Magazine asked me if I had any unique insight on Jordan Spieth’s phenomenal 2015 season. Spieth’s 2015 highlight reel included FIVE wins including two majors (Masters, US Open), as well as finishing 4th in The Open and 2nd in the PGA Championship.

And yes, in fact, I did have insight into Spieth’s secret sauce! For that magical year, Spieth was ranked #7 in Strokes Gained Putting (.571) behind #1 Aaron Baddeley (.722). But I had recently studied Jordan’s outstanding Distance Control in relation to Baddeley and the four previous #1 Strokes Gained putters: Graeme McDowell (2014), Greg Chalmers (2013), Brandt Snedeker (2012) and Luke Donald (2011). I found that Jordan’s putting and especially his distance control (putts from 20 feet and greater) was better than ALL of them. I contend that if his performances in the majors had been included in the ShotLink data, he would have ranked #1 in Strokes Gained Putting.

I break down Distance Control into four different skills. In the exhibits below, Jordan is represented by a YELLOW arrow, the five #1 Strokes Gained are in RED and the 2015 PGA Tour average in BLUE.

Average Start and Leave Distances

There is less that a foot difference in the average start distances, but Jordan is the only player to achieve an average leave for the entire season UNDER 2 feet.

% 1-Putts vs. 3-Putts

Bear in mind that this is all putts starting at 20 feet or greater, which on tour is 38% of first putts. Jordan’s 1-putt success from this distance was almost twice that of the tour average, 26% more than the #1’s AND with an impressive lack of 3-putts.

Successful Lags vs. Distance Control Errors

I consider a lag to be successful when it finishes within 7% of the start distance OR within 3 feet. I consider a lag to be an error if it does not finish within 10% of the start distance AND is outside 3 feet.

Putts Holed or Left Beyond the Hole – Never Up Never In!

Clearly, even the average Tour player gets the majority of lag putts to the hole. I submit that this highlights Jordan’s distance control skill and why his long range 1-Putt vs. 3-Putt numbers are so good.

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